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First of all, the decline in the yield of government bonds affects the newly allocated assets of China Ping An (hundreds of billions a year), and the earlier purchases are not affected;As shown in the mid-year report in 2024, about 51% of fixed-income assets are held with interest due, and 16.9% are placed in "financial assets with fair value and changes included in current profits and losses", that is, this part pursues elastic income, which can be understood as seeking transaction value. Take a casual look at the current trend of bond funds and bond ETFs. There are quite a few products that have increased by 8%-10% so far this year, and there are many products that have increased by more than 5%. According to the current macro trend, the debt cow is more certain.

In my humble opinion, in the future, we can replace the position of government bonds from two angles: interest rate bonds, especially high dividend companies, and lower the position of government bonds. Because now you can exchange liquidity through other channels, you don't have to have so many assets with very strong liquidity. Depending on the situation, stocks and funds that are growing in equity assets can be handed over to institutions for care. Don't expect Baosi to raise the stock assets too high, and the repayment rate and other indicators will follow. To sum up, it is still possible to achieve an implied hypothetical return of more than 4.5%. Moreover, if the regulatory authorities think there is risk, the predetermined interest rate will be adjusted.

Secondly, not all fixed-income products such as bonds held by China Ping An hold interest at maturity.